Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 2.239566 2.572401 2.940838 3.379462 3.888131 4.460303 5.153897
2025-05-25 1.665399 2.090975 2.608193 3.285355 4.152004 5.228576 6.674487
2025-06-01 1.408871 1.878729 2.487201 3.337584 4.502864 6.054468 8.295048
2025-06-08 1.240331 1.736778 2.413768 3.411927 4.859019 6.900289 10.032561
2025-06-15 1.094119 1.597030 2.313726 3.420098 5.104042 7.601418 11.642604
2025-06-22 0.957143 1.448596 2.176449 3.346303 5.205009 8.086824 12.976557
2025-06-29 0.852737 1.333620 2.071157 3.301039 5.333581 8.616563 14.437066
2025-07-06 0.760611 1.225532 1.961656 3.231225 5.406600 9.055442 15.793432
2025-07-13 0.729016 1.209890 1.995759 3.397476 5.887926 10.227008 18.576554
2025-07-20 0.670803 1.143031 1.936912 3.396280 6.075162 10.905596 20.554970
2025-07-27 0.637101 1.113923 1.938009 3.498437 6.456401 11.974268 23.414223
2025-08-03 0.595714 1.066639 1.901642 3.526833 6.701253 12.813963 25.937456
2025-08-10 0.548190 1.008808 1.850024 3.540296 6.958789 13.789862 29.068033
2025-08-17 0.490101 0.926076 1.745361 3.443264 6.995666 14.356236 31.494275
2025-08-24 0.457579 0.887775 1.719654 3.498080 7.348478 15.624668 35.699794
2025-08-31 0.431163 0.858067 1.706664 3.576228 7.760741 17.082752 40.620242
2025-09-07 0.400609 0.816287 1.664020 3.584817 8.019832 18.237631 45.032551
2025-09-14 0.365525 0.761074 1.586963 3.507249 8.070382 18.916191 48.379036
2025-09-21 0.336866 0.716288 1.526856 3.459673 8.183712 19.761172 52.325443
2025-09-28 0.309160 0.670544 1.459483 3.386296 8.223508 20.430026 55.928420
2025-10-05 0.302521 0.670822 1.494555 3.561038 8.907470 22.851280 64.963781
2025-10-12 0.283935 0.641884 1.459587 3.559781 9.139304 24.120840 70.909160
2025-10-19 0.273953 0.631835 1.467537 3.667169 9.674711 26.304792 80.104119